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Latest NJ Weather Blogs

2010 Mid-Atlantic Blizzard

Weekend Blizzard Final Call

We are now just hours away before a major blizzard storm impacts New Jersey. This will be my final call map before I start doing nowcasting (up to the minute forecasting) starting Friday night. I hope everyone is prepared for a lot of snow and wind. January Blizzard Final Call Timing: Start time will be between

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Significant Winter Storm Update

We are about 2 days away from a significant snow event for majority of New Jersey and confidence is increasing on low placement and impacts for the weekend. Below is my first call snow map for Friday, January 22nd – Sunday, January 24th. Expect changes to the map over the next 24 hrs with more

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Weekend Snow Storm Preliminary Thoughts

The potential for a significant winter storm is getting very close to looking like a sure thing for New Jersey. As I mentioned in my previous post, the main driver that will be producing this storm was not yet over land but still in the Pacific ocean. That energy is now over land and being

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Significant Snow Storm Looking Likely

Over this past weekend, the first real significant snow threat was shown to us from various computer models. The European, GFS, and Canadian were all showing a significant Mid Atlantic snow storm this coming weekend and all generally having the same end result. It is quite uncommon to have three weather models all pointing at

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Memorial Day Weekend Outlook

The unofficial start of Summer is this weekend and many of you will kicking off festivities along the coast or some type of outdoor activities. Lets see how the unofficial kick-off to Summer looks like for 2015: Saturday A cold front that pushed through Friday night will drop temperatures down slightly on Saturday to a

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February 16-17th Snow Storm Review

Above is my final forecast map for the snow storm that occurred Monday night – Tuesday afternoon (Feb. 16th – 17th) overlaid with observed snow accumulations submitted to the National Weather Service (Here & Here). I did not add every observed total but I added every county with at least the highest and lowest amounts

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Snow Storm Update (Feb 16 – 17th)

From looking at the latest guidance this morning and afternoon, I decided to drop totals a bit in Northwest New Jersey. From looking at observations, it looks the system will be slightly further South and the outer bands will not stretch far enough Northwest to bring a lot of accumulating snow. Rest of the forecast

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Round 2 Snow Storm (First Call)

Now that we are finished with round 1 of our snow system, which gave Central and Southern New Jersey 4″ – 7″ of snow, we are now looking at more snow coming late Monday night into Tuesday afternoon. Now, this is your typical east coast low that gains moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and

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Weekend Storm First Call

We will be dealing with our second clipper system come Saturday night into Sunday. Unlike the previous clipper system, this will be packing a bit more moisture and very strong wind & wind gusts. I’ve been stating, this system will be remembered by its strong winds rather than its accumulating snow fall. The clipper will

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Arctic Cold & Snow Chances

Over the past several days, I’ve been watching a development of two clipper systems that will be swinging down from Southern Canada and diving across the Northeast, bringing in an arctic blast, most likely the coldest temperatures we seen so far plus some accumulating snow chances. Our first clipper will be rather weak in precipitation.

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Wintry Mix Final Call

Final Call Snow Accumulation Map Final Call Ice Accumulation Map Looking after the latest data and observations, I am confident in sticking with my original call for snow accumulations. For my ice accumulations, I extended it Southwest just a bit. It is really tough to pinpoint where freezing rain may occur but I believe the

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Wintry Mix Threat First Call

For the past several days, I’ve been watching a wintry storm threat that looks to impact our area starting Sunday night and lasting through late Monday night / early Tuesday morning. The models have been adjusting the placement of the low pressure system and where the cold temperatures will remain over the past several days

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Sunday – Tuesday Early Thoughts

Over the past few days, I’ve been tracking another Winter storm threat that looks to impact our region between Sunday evening – early Tuesday. I’ve been keeping a close eye on this system but remaining relatively quiet as I wanted to to wait until we got a little closer to see if the models started

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Potential Storms Ahead

After a very active pattern to end January, we head into February right where we left off. The beginning of February is looking fairly active for snow chances across the Northeast along with some very cold conditions setting up across the Northeast. Teleconnections:  NAO AO PNA Above are the projected NAO, AO and PNA teleconnections

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Second Call Snow Map (February 2nd)

The trend in the models over the past 24 hours have been pushing the warm boundary further North. With the warmer solutions come in, the rain and ice conditions are also being pushed further North and the heavier snow accumulations being pushed further into Northern New Jersey. The low pressure system will be developing near

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February 2nd First Call Snow Map

We will be dealing with an area of low pressure that will be developing in the Central Plains and moving East towards the East Coast. The recent trend on models over the past 24 hrs, shows a slightly more Northern track with warmer air pushing into Southern New Jersey. There is a question on how

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Clipper & Beyond

After the blown forecast for the Major Winter Storm, the show must go on as weather does not take a break and it’s best just to get up, dust yourself off and move onto the next system. So, enough of the past, lets talk about what’s ahead.. Clipper System (1/29 – 1/30): Our next system

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Major Snow Storm Approaching

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A major Winter storm is now approaching the New Jersey region. The alarms have sounded and this is your last chance to head to the stores and stock up on supplies before you are snowed in Tuesday and possibly Wednesday. NJ Weather Blogs Final Call Snow Map: Above is my final call, which some of

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Major Snow Storm Likely

If you haven’t been on social media for the past 24-hours, you have missed a lot of buzz surrounding a potential major snow storm that is modeled to impact New Jersey Monday morning thru Tuesday night. I am here to catch you up on all the details and give you some details on what to

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Final Call Wednesday’s Clipper System

Wednesday’s clipper system will be a minor snow event but the timing of this event will be the main concern. It doesn’t take much snow to create hazardous travel conditions during the evening rush hour, which is when this clipper system will be dropping the steadiest snow over the New Jersey region. It’s been a

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Wednesday Clipper First Call

I’ve been tracking a clipper system that will be moving through Wednesday afternoon thru evening that looks to bring some light snow to the New Jersey region. If you read my previous article, there is still some uncertainty with the track and intensity. First Call Snow Map (January 21st) Timing: Start: Wednesday 11:00 AM –

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Wednesday Clipper

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It’s been fairly quiet on the snow front but I am tracking a clipper system that looks to move in Wednesday and bring some snow to the New Jersey area. We are dealing with two low pressure systems with the potential clipper on Wednesday. The Northern low is the clipper that will be swinging down

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Freezing-Rain

Wintry Mix Storm Map

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As I been mentioning over the past several days, the threat of an icy event looked to be happening during the early morning hours of Monday. An area of low pressure will be moving Northeast from the Gulf of Mexico and heading towards New Jersey. High pressure, which has been in control on Sunday has

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Wintry Mix Monday

On Thursday, I warned about a potential wintry mix event unfolding Monday morning. After reviewing for the models for the past 48-hrs, it seems that this will be the case. High pressure will be in control Sunday, which will help keep that cold arctic air in place over the Northeast. High temperatures across New Jersey

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Unsettled Weather Ahead

It appears things MAY get a little busy over the next week with a few systems appearing on the computer models that have me interested. With how the models been lately, I wouldn’t get excited about anything yet but it’s worth a mention at this point and to keep an eye on what is evolving.

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Clipper Review

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As many of you already know, after every snow event that I posted a snow map I like to put my snow map to the test. I take the snow totals collected from the National Weather Service Mount Holly & New York (they cover Northeast NJ) and overlay those ‘official’ totals on my snow map.

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Clipper System Snow Map

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A quick hitting, moisture starved Alberta Clipper will be moving through our region early Tuesday morning. This won’t be a a big snow event, more of a nuisance snow that will start close to the morning rush hour time frame. The latest computer models have shifted to precipitation further South over the last 24-48 hours

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Clipping Cold!

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After this weekends low pressure system that will bring a mix of snow, sleet and rain along with moderating temperatures to New Jersey, we turn to next as we look at the coldest temperatures of the season & possibly some snow showers. High pressure will settle in over the midwest on Monday, ushering in our

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Weekend Outlook

The low pressure system that will be forming near the Gulf of Mexico will be forming early Saturday morning and track Northeast towards the Great Lakes. Cold air is currently in place over New Jersey and will be in place during the onset of the system Saturday afternoon. Even though we are on the warmer

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Weekend Storm Update

A couple days ago, I released an article about keeping a close eye about a potential stormy system that will be forming near the Gulf of Mexico and impacting our region by the end of this weekend. There was some uncertainty on the track, whether it would stay to our west and head into the Great

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Monitoring Potential Storm Threat (Jan 4th – 5th)

On my last post, I briefly touched on another system that I was watching for this weekend and into early next week. I wanted to go a little further on what the models are showing and what we may expect towards the end of the week. I stated the cooler air will be returning this

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Cooler Air Returns

I hope everyone had a fun and safe holiday, I know it wasn’t the best weather but we had some fairly warm temperatures on Christmas Eve. High temperatures broke into the low – mid 60’s in some spots, which made the rainy weather a little more bearable. I know a lot of you are eager

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Christmas Week Update

IF you are wondering if anything has changed regarding the forecast for Christmas Eve & Christmas, I am sorry to tell you that not much has changed. The forecast continues to look warm and rainy Christmas Eve and cooler, windy and drier conditions will settle in Christmas Day. Monday night – Tuesday Scattered rain showers

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Bah Humbug

Last week everyone was watching for a potential snowy system to hit the Northeast this weekend that the EURO picked up on while the GFS said “no way!”. Well, the model that everyone doubts (including me), correctly called this weekends system to be a weak, southern slider that will barely make any impact on us,

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Nor’easter Update

We are in the final hours before we start seeing the first rain drops for the nor’easter as it begins to form off the South Carolina coast and strengthen as it moves Northeast about 50 or so miles off the New Jersey coastline. The forecast that I put out late last night is largely the

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Coastal Storm

A intense Nor’easter is approaching our region and will be dumping a lot of rain (and snow for some) early this week. Along with the heavy rains, we will be dealing with high winds, coastal flooding, beach erosion and flash flooding problems along the interior. The system is set to take place late Monday night

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Thanksgiving Storm?

If you have been anywhere near social media this weekend, you have been hearing about a potential snow storm that MAYBE will effect your Thanksgiving travels. As it is the busiest travel day of the year, I am going to show you what the models are hinting at and what to possibly expect as you

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Warm-Up Ahead?

Fall has arrived early for the Northeast (Fall officially starts September 22nd at 10:29pm) and temperatures don’t look to rebound over the next several weeks. If you are a big fan of the cool & crisp air, then you are going to enjoy the month of September. As seen above, the long range model (Climate

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Cool Week

As I mentioned many weeks ago, Fall would be making an early entrance with temperatures staying at or below normal for the first half of September. The vast majority of you are rather happy to see the cooler weather arrive and it looks like the fall like temperatures will carry-on through this week as well.

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Weekend Update

Earlier in the week, I said the weekend was looking a little iffy with a cold front that will be pushing through on Saturday. Things are looking a tad better with the timing of the cold front for your weekend plans…

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Warm Week

Today marks the first day of Meteorological Fall, which runs from September 1st – November 30th. The Astronomical first day of Fall, which all of your calendars go by starts September 22nd. If you’ve been outside recently, it feels like the first week of August with the heat & humidity. Most of the Summer, it

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Summer Like Week

This Summer hasn’t felt much like a Summer, with very few days reaching into the 90’s and very few consecutive days in the 90’s throughout the state. We’ve been in a ‘cool’ Summer, with average temperatures sitting in the mid to upper 80’s for highs and relatively cool nights, ranging in the 60’s & 70’s.

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Weekend Outlook 8/16-8/17

The beginning of the week featured very heavy rains for eastern portions of New Jersey, which area’s saw over 5″ of rain in a very short period of time. After the front moved through, temperatures dropped to below average temperatures (only reaching in the upper 70’s) and drier weather took over as High Pressure to

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Stormy Wednesday

The beginning of the week has been a fairly quiet one, however we’ve been dealing with a slight increase of temperatures and humidity levels thus far. Wednesday looks to be the last day of the mid 80’s and elevated humidity levels as a cold front will be working it from the West and sweeping through

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Sunday 8-3 Update

This weekend wasn’t a total washout but it sure wasn’t one of the better weekends we’ve had this Summer. The majority of the heavy rain that fell during the overnight hours and into early morning has all moved off-shore and conditions will begin to improve slightly as we progress through the rest of Sunday. Looking

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Weekend Outlook

For the majority of Summer, we’ve been extremely lucky on having beautiful weekend weather. This weekend will unfortunately not be in the majority for our great Summer weekends. Remember that cold front that came through earlier in the week and cooled us down? Well, that cold front has stalled just off the coast (pictured above)

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Facebook Page Down [Update: Back UP!]

As of July 30th, 2014, the NJ Weather Blogs Facebook page has been taken offline for no reason or explanation. I’ve reached out to Facebook through email asking for an explanation for the take down but Facebook does not guarantee a response, so I may never know. My only means of communicating with you will

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Late Evening Storms

A warm front has moved through the region overnight from South to North, bringing in the warm and humid airmass for the rest of the afternoon & evening. Temperatures will reach into the upper 80’s to low 90’s for most of the interior locations and the coastal regions will be in the mid 80’s. Dewpoints

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Evening Storms

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            The heat and humidity will pick on Wednesday, with many locations touching the low 90 degree mark along with dewpoints rising into the low 70’s across the state. Higher temperatures will be focused further inland as coastal regions will stick in the mid 80’s for the most part. With

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Hot or Cool Summers?

I’ve been mentioning as of lately that all major models have been hinting at another cool shot across the Northeast. I’ve seen some comments rejoicing in the news of cooler temps through the end of July and into the beginning of August, while others want the heat to stick around for the rest of Summer.

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Next Week

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This weekend won’t go down as one of the best weekends we’ve had but it won’t be the worst. Overall, conditions will remain ‘cool’ with temperatures ranging in the upper 70’s – low 80’s for the interior locations and slightly cooler along the coastal regions ranging in the mid 70’s. Sunday will feature similar conditions

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